Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000634 0.000720 0.000810 0.000913 0.001025 0.001145 0.001282
2026-01-04 0.000507 0.000626 0.000761 0.000923 0.001113 0.001325 0.001581
2026-01-11 0.000430 0.000563 0.000720 0.000917 0.001155 0.001432 0.001776
2026-01-18 0.000369 0.000510 0.000683 0.000908 0.001189 0.001525 0.001954
2026-01-25 0.000330 0.000477 0.000665 0.000916 0.001239 0.001635 0.002151
2026-02-01 0.000295 0.000446 0.000644 0.000917 0.001277 0.001728 0.002328
2026-02-08 0.000255 0.000403 0.000604 0.000890 0.001275 0.001768 0.002437
2026-02-15 0.000223 0.000368 0.000572 0.000868 0.001277 0.001812 0.002549
2026-02-22 0.000200 0.000345 0.000553 0.000863 0.001300 0.001881 0.002695
2026-03-01 0.000182 0.000325 0.000537 0.000861 0.001326 0.001954 0.002847
2026-03-08 0.000163 0.000303 0.000517 0.000849 0.001337 0.002006 0.002970
2026-03-15 0.000146 0.000282 0.000495 0.000835 0.001343 0.002050 0.003083
2026-03-22 0.000138 0.000276 0.000497 0.000857 0.001402 0.002171 0.003305
2026-03-29 0.000129 0.000267 0.000494 0.000869 0.001447 0.002273 0.003505
2026-04-05 0.000117 0.000251 0.000478 0.000862 0.001463 0.002333 0.003646
2026-04-12 0.000105 0.000236 0.000463 0.000853 0.001476 0.002388 0.003781
2026-04-19 0.000098 0.000228 0.000458 0.000861 0.001513 0.002480 0.003969
2026-04-26 0.000091 0.000218 0.000449 0.000862 0.001539 0.002556 0.004136
2026-05-03 0.000080 0.000200 0.000425 0.000836 0.001522 0.002564 0.004204
2026-05-10 0.000070 0.000185 0.000405 0.000816 0.001511 0.002583 0.004286
2026-05-17 0.000064 0.000176 0.000395 0.000811 0.001526 0.002640 0.004426
2026-05-24 0.000059 0.000168 0.000386 0.000809 0.001545 0.002704 0.004578
2026-05-31 0.000053 0.000158 0.000373 0.000798 0.001549 0.002744 0.004693